As we head into earnings season, the top international news stories, mostly about Iraq, continue to steal the thunder from some pretty good company earnings.  By the end of today, 95 of the S&P 500 will have reported their earnings.  First Call reports that the number of reports beating expectations is well ahead of this time last year.  Granted, the comparisons are pretty easy, but hey, let’s enjoy a little good news.  Many of the major banks reported strong results this week.  Bank of America’s 4th Quarter net income rose 27% and beat average analysts’ estimates by $.06.  BB&T reported a 21% increase in earnings. 

We began the week with some surprisingly strong economic news.  As reported by the Institute for Supply Management,U.S.manufacturing increased in December by the largest amount since the last recovery from recession in June of 1991.  Manufacturing contributes about 15% to the nations’ economy.  Manufacturing and business in general have been slow to recover in this latest economic slowdown, but this latest ISM report showed much more strength than expected by economists.  Some economists are now raising their growth target for the economy from 1.5% in the first quarter to 2.5%, while others say the report probably overstates the amount of improvement. 

There is an axiom on Wall Street that says ‘as goes January, so goes the year.’  Yesterday certainly got January off to a good start.  The first trading day of the New Year saw the Dow rise by 3.2%, the S&P 500 by 3.3% and the NASDAQ by 3.7%.  Volume was heavier than the preceding week, but was still well below normal.  However, the buying volume was six times the selling volume; further proof that selling is on the decline. 

As war talk grows louder and likely dates of conflict crystallize, investors find it hard to focus on anything else.  The amazing thing is the prospect of it seems to carry new emotional impact daily.  Its rather compelling proof that markets can be just as emotional as the individuals who comprise them.