11 May 2007

Posted at 14:42h in The Friday Brief by
The bulls of the Dow Jones Industrial Index took a deep breath yesterday with a 147 point gasp. But it was a rare one. Over the last 28 trading days, including all of April and May so far, the index declined only four days. If today’s trend continues, the Dow will close up enough for a flat finish for the week saving the five-week streak. Mega corporate buyouts, potential for a Fed rate cut, reasonable stock valuations and old fashioned-momentum are propelling the averages.

16 Mar 2007

Posted at 15:16h in The Friday Brief by
During the past couple of weeks, Mr. Greenspan and others have publicly weighed in with their own views on the economy and possible recession. While Greenspan says he puts the chances of recession at 1 in 3, most economists, including Fed Chair Ben Bernanke, think the economy is in pretty good shape. They think that the chances for recession are generally more remote. While they recognize that weaker mortgage borrowers could have a significant effect on lenders in those markets, most think that the problem will not drag the entire economy into recession.  

23 Feb 2007

Posted at 16:31h in The Friday Brief by
Just a couple of weeks ago it looked as if the economy was going to re-accelerate after only modestly slowing to a respectable 2.5% growth in the fourth quarter. But more economists are now reducing their estimates for growth and saying that fourth quarter GDP will likely be revised downward from 2.5% to 2.0%. In several speeches, Fed governors and district-bank presidents yesterday pared their estimate of economic growth for 2007 to 2.5% - 3%.

12 Jan 2007

Posted at 15:53h in The Friday Brief by
It’s been seven full years since the huge Y2K push by the world’s corporations and governments to modernize their technology platforms. You will recall that the impetus came from the nearly universal use of a date space-saving technique which used only two digits to store the year rather than four. It was feared that when the world’s computer clocks arrived at 01/01/2000 mass chaos could follow. How would computers distinguish between 1900 and 2000 when all they saw was 00? Suffice it to say that virtually everyone who used computers in their business felt compelled to upgrade both computers and software creating a huge boost for everybody in technology.